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Draft lottery

What it means in basketball, and how it works in HoopSim.

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The rule in full: Draft scouting, in the rulebook.

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Glossary · Trades and team buildingDraft lottery
The definition

A draft lottery is a weighted random draw that decides the top picks in a sports draft among the teams that missed the playoffs, giving the worst teams the best odds without guaranteeing them the first pick.

In HoopSim the lottery runs during the playoffs. The eight teams with the worst regular-season records are in it, ties broken at random. Three picks are drawn: #1, #2 and #3, one team at a time, and a team that wins a slot has its tickets removed. Every other team then picks in order from worst record to best, so a lottery team can fall at most three spots below where its record put it.

Record rankChance at #1
Worst31.5%
2nd worst22.5%
3rd worst16.9%
4th worst11.2%
5th worst7.9%
6th worst4.5%
7th worst3.4%
8th worst2.2%

Rulebook: The draft lottery. Related: tanking, draft rights.

In the rulebook: Draft scouting, the chapter this term comes from, with the exact numbers the engine uses.

Related terms

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